Streetlights and Shadows PDF ePub eBook

Books Info:

Streetlights and Shadows free pdf In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines -- gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete -- but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples -- ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O'Brian's Master and Commander novels -- to make his point. All these decision makers saw things that others didn't. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything.

About Gary Klein

Gary Klein is a Senior Scientist at Applied Research Associates. He is the author of Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions (1999) and the coauthor of Working Minds: A Practitioner's Guide to Cognitive Task Analysis (2006), both published by the MIT Press.

Details Book

Author : Gary Klein
Publisher : Bradford Books
Data Published : 23 September 2011
ISBN : 0262516721
EAN : 9780262516723
Format Book : PDF, Epub, DOCx, TXT
Number of Pages : 352 pages
Age + : 15 years
Language : English
Rating :

Reviews Streetlights and Shadows

17 Comments Add a comment

Related eBooks Download

  • What to Do When You Don't Know What to Do  free pdfWhat to Do When You Don't Know What to Do

    Not sure what to do next. Sometimes the big and small decisions in life seem overwhelming. How do you know what choices to make about your career. kids. and relationships. Even when you make good decisions..

  • Methods Matter free pdfMethods Matter

    Educational policy-makers around the world constantly make decisions about how to use scarce resources to improve the education of children. Unfortunately. their decisions are rarely informed by evidence on the consequences of these initiatives in other settings..

  • Economic Decision Making Using Cost Data free pdfEconomic Decision Making Using Cost Data

    According to economic theory. production and costs follow patterns that are common to many firms. In a world of perfect information. managers could utilize this cost data to make production decisions and set prices..

  • Ethical Maturity in the Helping Professions free pdfEthical Maturity in the Helping Professions

    How do we. as humans. arrive at what we call morally or ethically good or bad decisions. What processes are involved in making ethical decisions. Is there a way to move towards ethical maturity and how will being ethically mature assist us with any future decisions we might make..

  • Bazi the Destiny Code free pdfBazi the Destiny Code

    Life is full of decisions and we are constantly striving to find new ways and new tools to help us make better decisions. That is what BaZi is all about learning about how to understand your own Destiny in order to make better..

  • Streetlights and Shadows free pdfStreetlights and Shadows

    . In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would